Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE) helps you clarify patterns the place different strategies fall brief
Neural networks can spot patterns, correlations, and traits with beautiful accuracy. However relating to answering ‘Why did this occur?’ they’re as clueless as a parrot mimicking human speech.
They’ll provide you with predictions, certain — however strive asking them for a proof, and also you’ll be left watching a black field.
This limitation isn’t distinctive to neural networks. Correlation-based strategies like linear regression and even superior instruments like Propensity Score Matching can’t get to the core of causation-based traits in advanced knowledge. That could be a drawback when decision-makers (learn: your managers) demand actionable enterprise insights and never geeky stats that solely make nerds comfortable.
Liable to contradicting myself, right here’s a really geeky topic for you: Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE). The factor is, TMLE is the perfect of each worlds. It permits you to mess around with numbers as a lot as your nerdy mind wishes, but it surely additionally makes your managers comfortable by producing enterprise insights.
Primarily, you get the rigor of causal inference plus the flexibleness of machine studying, This…
